Average Seoul Apartment Price Exceeds W500 million

by Brendon Carr

Paging Doctor Housing Bubble! Is Dr. Bubble in the house?

Thanks to the Roh housing policy, the average price of 900 square-foot Seoul apartments (pitifully small, hardly large enough for Battlestar Galactica’s Rekha Sharma to lounge around in nude) now exceeds W500 million, less than two years after the price for similar apartments passed the W400 million level, the Maeil Kyungjae reports today:

30-pyong Seoul Apartments Pass W500 Million

The average price of a 30-pyong apartment in Seoul has surpassed W500,000,000.

According to real estate advisory firm Budongsan Bank on the 20th, the average price of an 85m² apartment has broken through the W500 million level to reach W511,800,000. It’s been only a year and 10 months since the price passed W400 million on June 4, 2006.

By district, Kangnam-gu and Seocho-gu were in first and second place with average prices of W1,477,100,000 and W983,970,000, respectively; other districts came in at W773,910,000 in Songpa-gu; W744,140,000 in Yongsan-gu; W629,580,000 in Kwangjin-gu; W531,600,000 in Chung-gu; W525,130,000 in Seongdong-gu; W521,670,000 in Mapo-gu. Nowon-gu, after its recent sharp spike in apartment prices, remains below the W500 million level at W429,330,000.

Here’s the original Korean text, if you’re interested:

서울 30평대 아파트, 평균 5억 넘어

서울 30평대 아파트 평균 매매값이 5억원대를 넘어섰다.

20일 부동산정보업체 부동산뱅크에 따르면 서울에서 전용면적 85m² 아파트 평균 매매가는 5억118만원으로 5억원대를 돌파했다. 2006년 6월 4억원을 넘어선 지 1년10개월 만이다.

권역별로는 강남구와 서초구, 송파구 등 강남권이 9억2112만원으로 5억원을 훨씬 넘어선 데 비해 비강남권은 4억3088만원에 불과했다.

구별로는 강남구가 10억4771만원, 서초구는 9억8397만원으로 1ㆍ2위를 기록했다. 이어 송파구 7억7391만원, 용산구 7억4414만원, 광진구 6억2958만원, 중구 5억3160만원, 성동구 5억2513만원, 마포구 5억2167만원 순이었다. 노원구는 최근 집값이 큰 폭으로 상승했으나 4억2933만원으로 5억원을 밑돌았다.

The foregoing reported prices are average prices across Seoul, pulled up quite a bit, as you can see, by extremely high average prices in the nouveau riche areas of Kangnam-gu and Seocho-gu, followed by up-and-coming Songpa-gu and Yongsan-gu. Elsewhere in the Maekyung I stumbled across an article describing how the Myong-dong corner location where the Pascucci Coffee is located is Korea’s most expensive plot of commercial real estate at W200 million per square meter. Let’s take a look at the dizzying heights of Korea’s most expensive bubble residential neighborhoods:

The most expensive residential neighborhood is Dongbu Centreville apartments at 670 Daechi-dong. At W12,100,000 per square meter (W39,300,000 per pyong), it approaches the level of W40,000,000 per pyong, an increase of 15.2% over last year’s price (W10,500,000 per square meter).

The second most expensive residential neighborhood was i-Park at 87 Samsung-dong, priced at W11,800,000 per square meter (W38,940,000 per pyong), and Dogok Rexle Apartments at 527 Dogok-dong was third at W11,000,000 per square meter (W36,300,000 per pyong). These two were also up over last year—12.4% and 10.4%, respectively.

Tower Palace at 467 Dogok-dong, despite being valued at W19,700,000 per square meter (W65,010,000 per pyong), is an “officetel” (jusang bok-hap) building zoned for commercial use, and so is not included in the rankings of residential areas.

Recall that the original Maekyung piece concerned a hypothetical 30-pyong spread in Seoul—915 square feet, with two or usually three bedrooms. If we take those average prices, the Dongbu Centreville comes in at W1,179,000,000; i-Park at W1,168,200,000; Dogok Rexle at W1,089,000,000; and the Tower Palace an alluring W1,950,300,000. So cheap, let’s buy two.

And again, here is the original Korean language:

주거지역 중에서 가장 비싼 곳은 대치동 670 동부센트레빌이었다. m²당 1210만원(3.3m²당 3993만원)으로 3.3m²당 4000만원 선에 바짝 다가섰다. 지난해 공시지가(m²당 1050만원)보다 15.2%나 상승했다. 동부센트레빌은 5년 연속으로 가장 비싼 주거용지 자리를 이어갔다.

두 번째로 비싼 주거지역은 삼성동 87 아이파크로 m²당 1180만원(3.3m²당 3894만원)이었고 도곡동 527 도곡렉슬이 ㎡당 1100만원(3.3m²당 3630만원)으로 3위를 기록했다. 이들 단지도 지난해보다 12.4%, 10.4%가량 올랐다.

주상복합 건물인 도곡동 467 타워팰리스는 m²당 1970만원(3.3m²당 6501만원)이었지만 상업지역에 들어선 건물이어서 주거지역 순위에는 포함되지 못했다.

UPDATE 4/25: Welcome Korea Beat readers. You might also be interested by the following Korea Law Blog posts on this topic:

Home Prices Actually Sink in Songpa! Let’s Buy Two
In Which I Advise the Minister of Construction
Korea’s Own “Sub-Prime” Housing Crash in Sight?
It’s a Housing Crash All Right
More Property Craziness Under MBnomics
900 Sq. Ft. Korean Apartment Construction Cost $150K
More on Land-Use Regulation and Housing Prices, Plus News From Seattle
Housing Bubble: Home Supply Down 30% in 2008
More Property Fallout: Kwangju Regional Construction Group Foundering
Builders Having Trouble Moving Apartments in Seoul
Yikes! Unsold/Unsaleable Housing Problem Spreading to Seoul
Watch the Construction Companies: Korea’s Canary in the Mine
Is There Really a “Glut” of Housing in Korea?
Housing Policy and the Korean Dream

Comments

9 Responses to This Entry

  1. C.A. on

    Wow… I can remember a 14 pyong place a drive and 7-iron from Seoul station for W1,000,000 in 1993 and I thought that was awfully high.

    Thanks for the original Korean… I have my DLPT soon and that was a good review. I’ll be back in Korea in June…

  2. Tero on

    <sarcasm>I guess real estate wealth has reached a reached a permanent high plateau in Korea, and I truly envy all those who live in these gold mansions in Gangnam.</sarcasm>

    Are the mortgages in Korea mostly recourse or non-recourse loans? There has to be a lot of people in Seoul up to their eyeballs in debt.

    A 500 million 30-year loan at 6.5% costs well over 3 million a month in payments. I guess people are still willing to pay that much (if they can) as long as they believe prices keep rising, but what will happen when they end up ‘underwater’ as is happening in the States?

    Can they just walk away, or will there be a class of permanent debt slaves?

  3. Brendon Carr on

    Korean housing finance is, as always, a bit weird compared to the rest of the world.

    First off, unlike the US, the housing loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is limited to about half the value of the property; commercial banks are prohibited by the Financial Supervisory Service from loaning more. This doesn’t mean people don’t get greater leverage from somewhere else (merchant banks, insurance companies, etc.), but the “mortgage” loan only accounts for half the value of the property.

    So to buy a W500 million apartment, one would first need to amass W250 million or so in cash, then get a loan from the bank. That loan would be secured by a first-priority lien on the property, which means the bank’s exposure to loss is in theory relatively limited. A repossessed home sold at auction might be expected to get 50% of the “market” price in any case.

    Second, housing loans are rarely amortized. Banker friends have moaned about how hard it is to talk people into a fully amortized loan. Most Koreans prefer to take out a short-term balloon loan and make interest-only payments, and “pay” the loan by taking another loan when it matures (perhaps paying down some of the principal balance at that time), or by selling the property and taking profits.

    So the down payment on that average 850-to-920 sq. ft. apartment (usable floor space varies from property to property) is W250 million. Compare that to the starting salaries for college graduates—W1,500,000 a month is not uncommon, and W3,000,000 is considered a pretty healthy salary for mid-career office workers—and you start to understand why unmarried Koreans still live with Mom and Dad.

  4. Sperwer on

    And the answer to the outstanding question is, yes, these loans are fully recourse to the mortgagor, although the real bite in the ass is likely to some from the unsecured lender of the downpayment funds after the mortgagee gets made whole out of the foreclosure sale.  I’m saving up to go into the repo sale/purchase and flip business.

  5. Brendon Carr on

    Sperwer, thanks for your save. There’s one other point to make—although a loan may be deemed “full recourse”, the truth of Korean law is that there are so many ways to hide assets that any portion of the balance not secured by property is non-recoverable in almost every instance.

  6. Korea Beat on

    I went to that Pascucci Coffee a couple years ago. Incredible it’s that expensive. They do make a lot of money from people going there just because it’s known to be used in many TV dramas.

    Frankly, these kinds of reports actually make me glad my wife would rather live in Chelsea than Seoul.

  7. Tero on

    Brendon writes:

    This doesn’t mean people don’t get greater leverage from somewhere else (merchant banks, insurance companies, etc.), but the “mortgage” loan only accounts for half the value of the property.

    I have a feeling that this leverage is quite widely used, particularly with those Koreans who “invest” in real estate.

    It is easy to find companies that advertise loans of up to 90% of appraised value. These loans are offered at completely usury rates.

    Case in point: A colleague of my wife “owns” 11 officetels. Considering his age and salary, I would guess the poor man has daisy chained a series of 90% financing to multiply his liabilities.

    It’s all fun and games as long as prices keep rising and there’s enough buyers, but I have a feeling that when the bubble bursts, there will be a lot of grief.

    Sperwer writes:

    I’m saving up to go into the repo sale/purchase and flip business.

    Good luck. I wish I had accumulated enough savings to buy more than a broom closet in Seoul.

  8. Sperwer on

    although a loan may be deemed “full recourse”, the truth of Korean law is that there are so many ways to hide assets that any portion of the balance not secured by property is non-recoverable in almost every instance.

    True enough, full recourse is cold comfort for an unsecured creditor.  But then, Korea is also like Texas and a few other places with which I’m familiar where defaulting on even a very small obligation is a significant criminal offense and, if the creditor has got the juice, can result in serious criminal complications for the defaulting obligor.  My secret weapon in my planned emulation of Snidely Whiplash is my KNP Daeryung brother-in-law.

  9. Brendon Carr on

    Um, Mr. Whiplash, default on obligations is no longer a criminal offense unless the complainant can trump up a fraud complaint. But that changed after you had already gotten out of the law game.

    Decriminalizing loan defaults, by the way, is one of the public policy fruits of the comprehensive bankruptcy law reform project on which my partner Doil Son and I worked in 1999 and 2000 (and 2001 and 2002) with some lawyers from Orrick Herrington and Richard Gitlin when we were at Shin & Kim. Criminalization of commercial obligations contributes to unwillingness to use the formal bankruptcy process, leaving a lot of defunct companies with keys left on the desk by walkaway owners.

    As for me, I too am thinking of growing a big black mustache before I get into the foreclosures game. I’m a traditionalist.

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